Analyzing every route the NY Jets can take in the 2024 NFL Draft

The NY Jets are more likely to trade down in the draft

Rather than trading up, it is more likely that the Jets key in on trading down. Joe Douglas and company do not own a 2024 second-round pick, which was given up in the trade for Aaron Rodgers. The Jets top three picks are 10th, 72nd, and 111th overall.

That means the Jets will wait a whopping 62 picks between their first and second selections. By trading down in the first round, the Jets can remain in the top 20, and gain an early to mid-round second-round pick.

If a quarterback is to fall and the Jets find themselves a trading partner, then they could potentially own two picks in the top 50. The reason this is so significant is that they could then address two positions rather than only one.

The Jets could exit the draft with both an offensive tackle and a pass catcher, adding tremendously to the depth behind their starters.

Maximizing value with the 10th overall pick will be key for the NY Jets

Now this is where it can get tricky for the Jets. Looking at the top 14 offensive tackles rated by CBS Sports entering 2022 and 2023, the average draft position (ADP) was 38th overall, which equates to an early second-round pick.

Looking at only those offensive tackles taken in the first round, the ADP becomes 11th overall. If the Jets are keen on adding a top-tier offensive tackle, then this metric shows they are better off staying put at 10 overall, and selecting a tackle that has the potential to become a top-15 player at that position.

When analyzing the wide receiver position, the top 20 wide receivers in receiving yards for the 2023 season have an ADP of 57th overall, and a median draft position of 43rd overall.

When removing later-round outliers such as Tyreek Hill, Puka Nacua, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Stefon Diggs, the ADP rises to 34th overall. This points to the desire of the Jets to obtain a second-round pick, most likely by trading down.