Technically, every NFL draft prospect comes with risk, if only because none have proved themselves at the sport’s highest level.
Even the newest New York Jets fans know that some draft picks are more dangerous than others, whether it’s because of injuries or off-field trouble.
No one is doubting Arizona State receiver Jordyn Tyson’s abilities, and he’s widely projected to be a top-20 pick. Tyson recorded 136 catches for 1,812 yards and 18 receiving touchdowns over the last two years.
As CBS Sports’ Zachary Pereles noted, though, Tyson will enter the NFL with an extensive injury history. He suffered a knee injury, a broken collarbone, and multiple hamstring injuries at Arizona State and Colorado.
“Health is a major factor here,” Pereles wrote when mocking Tyson to the Jets at No. 16, “but the Jets could hit a home run if his hamstring issues don’t derail him.”
If health is a 'major factor,' then why should the Jets draft Jordyn Tyson?
The NFL draft is an excellent example of the difference between “would” and “should.”
We know why the Jets would draft Tyson. As Pereles wrote, Tyson is an explosive playmaker when healthy, and the Jets desperately need another receiver to pair with Garrett Wilson.
As for why the Jets should take Tyson, that’s a far different conversation.
Only the most complete teams can win without their best skill players, and they typically need an elite quarterback to do so.
Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes have put their teams on their back when injuries have ravaged their offense. Tom Brady always made things work without Rob Gronkowski.
Realistically, the Jets aren’t exactly considered playoff contenders this year, and 2027 may be a tough ask, too.
But what if this organization finally rights the ship and finds a franchise quarterback? Having another receiver you trust to stay healthy would certainly help their postseason chances.
When someone cites health as a “major factor” for a first-round prospect, that alone is reason to stay far away … within the first 32 picks, that is.
Suppose Tyson drops to No. 33 when the Jets pick to start the second round. He’s worth drafting at that point, partly because there’s less financial risk.
Only the first 32 picks sign a four-year contract with a fifth-year option. Everyone else is on a four-year contract, and it’s easier to part ways after two or three years if things don’t work out.
Potential cannot, and should not, win out over an extensive injury history.
Maybe Tyson will grow into a perennial 1,000-yard candidate, or maybe he’ll be on another team in 2028 because he can’t stay on the field.
With how many issues the Jets have right now, hoping for scenario No. 1 isn’t worth the possibility of No. 2 coming to fruition.
