Value on Jets’ win total prediction following Aaron Rodgers trade

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers. / Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Jets finally made the splash that we’ve all been waiting for this season, trading for four-time MVP Aaron Rodgers from the Green Bay Packers.

The move immediately vaults the Jets into contention for a Super Bowl this season, and Vegas has the team’s odds set at +1400 to win it all in the 2023 campaign.

While the Super Bowl is a realistic goal for the Jets with Rodgers, there may be more betting with the team’s win total, which is currently set at just 9.5 wins.

Jets’ win total projection for 2023 season

The Jets are in a tough division with the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins both making the playoffs last season, and Bill Belichick’s New England Patriots always lurking as a potential playoff team.

Still, the Jets finished the 2022 season with a 7-10 record despite ranking 29th in the NFL in points scored and 28th in turnover ratio. If there’s one thing we know about Rodgers, it’s that he is great at limiting turnovers, throwing just 105 career interceptions in 230 games.

New York has plenty of weapons at Rodgers’ disposal, headlined by last year’s first-round pick Garrett Wilson. 

Mecole Hardman, Corey Davis, Allen Lazard and Breece Hall are also a part of one of the better skill groups that Rodgers has had in his NFL career.

That could be enough to get New York to double-digit wins, especially when you look at Rodgers’ track record.

Aaron Rodgers should get Jets to double-digit wins in 2023

Since he became a starting quarterback in 2008, Rodgers has led his team to 10 or more wins in his starts in 10 of 15 seasons. As long as he’s healthy, he’s almost a lock for his team winning 10 games. 

The Jets picked up seven wins with arguably the worst quarterback play in the NFL last season from Zach Wilson, Joe Flacco and Mike White.

The upgrade to Rodgers is astronomical, and the fact that New York is seventh in the odds to win the Super Bowl signals to me that it should be expected to win double-digit games this season. 

The last key in this equation is the Jets’ defense. 

New York was tied for first in opponent yards per play with the Philadelphia Eagles last season, and the team allowed the fourth fewest points per game in the NFL. 

Now that the Jets won’t have to worry about their defense single-handedly carrying them to wins, they should be one of the better teams in the NFL in the 2023 season.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.