Many disagree with the NY Jets' decision to trade-up for Breece Hall
The staunch "anti-running back" sentiment among many in the analytics community has been in full force post-draft. Let's get one thing straight first: running backs can matter.
Yes, they're replaceable. Yes, they're more of a luxury than a necessity. But if all things are equal and the situation for said running back is favorable, there's going to be a significant difference between a good and bad running back.
La'Mical Perine isn't going to do what Derrick Henry does in Tennessee. Austin Walter isn't going to replicate Nick Chubb's production.
A bad running back in a bad situation isn't very different from a good running back in a bad situation. But in a favorable situation (coaching/offensive line/etc.), there's a stark contrast between good and bad running backs.
The Jets selected Hall with the obvious belief that he could be a top-10 back in the NFL before long. If that does happen, which again, this is what they believe will happen, then I don't see any argument that he's not worth the equivalent of a second-round pick.
Would Dalvin Cook not be worth a second-round pick in a draft do-over? What about Jonathan Taylor? Nick Chubb? Joe Mixon? These are all top running backs who were selected in the second round, roughly around where Hall was selected.
If Hall's career turns out like any of those listed above, the Jets made the right decision.
Once again, we don't know if Hall is going to be a star in the NFL. We don't have the benefit of hindsight to analyze this trade's long-term impact. All we can discuss is "the process."