NY Jets won't give up a first-round pick in the Aaron Rodgers trade

The NY Jets are going to trade for Aaron Rodgers. It's much less so a matter of if than it is when at this point. That's the only logical outcome of this situation for everyone involved.

The two questions that remain center around when a trade might happen and how much it's going to cost the Jets. That second topic has been a contentious discussion in recent weeks.

The Green Bay Packers have pushed the Jets to include the No. 13 overall pick in the trade package, but the Jets have been very hesitant to do so. At this stage, it seems highly unlikely that the Jets budge.

This was essentially confirmed in a report by Yahoo Sports' Charles Robinson on Monday night. Robinson insisted that the Jets and Packers have tentatively agreed to the framework of a trade that would see the Jets send a 2023 second-round pick and a conditional 2024 pick to the Packers.

The holdup is that the Packers don't want conditions attached to the draft compensation, while the Jets are looking for insurance in the form of a conditional 2025 draft pick in case Rodgers doesn't play next season.

Either way, it seems as though the Jets' 2023 first-round pick is off the table.

The NY Jets aren't trading their 2023 first-round pick for Aaron Rodgers

If the Jets do trade a first-round pick, it isn't going to be a solidified selection, by all accounts. The only way the Jets send a first-round pick to Green Bay is if there are conditions attached.

Examples Robinson proposed are if the Jets host a home divisional playoff game or if the Jets reach the AFC Championship Game. If the conditions aren't met, the pick would resort to a second-round selection, per Robinson.

Now, this is just speculation on his part, but his report does align with prior reports and conjectures suggesting Rodgers' trade value was a 2023 Day 2 pick and a conditional future first.

The Packers understandably don't want conditions attached to any draft compensation. That said, Rodgers' uncertain future is why it makes the most sense.

Packers general manager Brian Gutekunst even told reporters on Monday that Green Bay "won't necessarily" get a first-round pick in return for Rodgers. Gutekunst is well aware of the current situation.

Both teams recognize that Rodgers being traded to the Jets is the only feasible outcome to this scenario. The pressure is on Green Bay, however, to get a deal done before the 2023 NFL Draft next month. They likely don't want to push back draft compensation to 2024.

The Jets and Packers will continue to engage in trade talks, but one thing seems clear. The Packers aren't getting the first-round pick they have so obviously coveted. The Jets aren't budging.