24. Brock Purdy, QB, San Francisco 49ers
Brock Purdy was one of the feel-good stories of the NFL last season. The seventh-round pick took the NFL world by storm, winning all five of his late-season starts, and nearly taking his team to the Super Bowl.
Purdy deserves plenty of credit for his success last season, but his numbers were slightly inflated by a brilliant offensive scheme. The key for Purdy will be replicating the success he found in his eight-game sample size last year.
23. Mac Jones, QB, New England Patriots
Mac Jones took a sizable step back last year after a promising rookie season. He was temporarily benched in favor of rookie Bailey Zappe, who, less than a year later, was waived as part of final roster cuts.
I have confidence that Jones should be better in a Bill O'Brien offensive scheme, but he absolutely has a lot to prove this season.
22. Jimmy Garoppolo, QB, Las Vegas Raiders
The Las Vegas Raiders made the controversial decision to move on from longtime quarterback Derek Carr this offseason, replacing him with the injury-prone Jimmy Garoppolo.
Garoppolo has experience in Josh McDaniels' scheme, but it's hard not to feel like the Raiders downgraded at the quarterback position. Even if he's healthy, Garoppolo is little more than a league-average QB.
21. Kenny Pickett, QB, Pittsburgh Steelers
Kenny Pickett was better as a rookie than his raw box-score numbers indicate. Pickett may have finished the year with more interceptions than touchdowns, but his turnover-worthy play percentage, per Pro Football Focus, was actually among the best in football.
The 2022 first-rounder isn't helped out by an elementary Matt Canada offensive scheme, but he was quietly pretty good last season. The Steelers might have something here.