Jets vs. Dolphins best NFL prop bets for Week 15

Dec 10, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson (17)
Dec 10, 2023; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson (17) / Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

The Jets kept its faint playoff hopes alive with a second half explosion against the Texans, setting up a must win scenario against the banged up Dolphins.

Does New York have something cooking with Zach Wilson back under center? I'm targeting the New York passing game on Sunday in Miami, but with Garrett Wilson, who continues to produce despite a revolving door at quarterback. I'm also fading the Dolphins given issues to the offensive line and an injury to Tyreek Hill in the way of Tua Tagovailoa.

Keep reading for my three favorite prop bets for this AFC East showdown, but also get a pick for this game and EVERY game in Week 15 with betting expert Iain MacMillian's Road to 272!

Best prop bets for Jets vs. Dolphins in Week 15

  • Garrett Wilson OVER 4.5 receptions
  • Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 219.5 passing yards
  • Breece Hall OVER 12.5 rushing attempts

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Garrett Wilson OVER 4.5 receptions

The Jets passing game has been a struggle all season, but Wilson has been as effective as one can be, hauling in 76 passes already this season. The second year Ohio State product has a whopping 134 targets already this season as the team's blend of backup quarterbacks has force fed him the ball and I expect no different on Sunday on the road.

Wilson has at least seven targets in all but one game this season (Week 1) and should see volume in this one against a Dolphins defense that has been elite of late, posting a top five EPA/Play rate since Week 11.

If the Dolphins defense is up to par, the Jets may be limited in terms of yardage, but I still expect Wilson to see the ball plenty.

Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 219.5 passing yards

The Dolphins offense has hit the skids quickly with MVP candidate Tyreek Hill getting suffering an ankle sprain last week and the team losing its starting guard Connor Williams to a torn ACL.

Now, the Dolphins face a loaded Jets defense that already gave him issues this season when the team was at full strength. Tagovailoa did go over this total, but tossed two picks in the process. If Hill isn't 100%, the Dolphins are going to need to alter its game plan as we saw the team struggle to generate long sustaining drives against a poor Titans defense.

I think the Dolphins' passing game struggles on Sunday and will play the under in what may be a rock fight.

Breece Hall OVER 12.5 rushing attempts

Hall has had 12 or more carries in six of his last nine games as he continues to look stronger and stronger with every passing week.

I believe the Jets try to grind this game to a halt, leaning on its defense to get the job done against a banged up Miami defense, which means Hall can play a big role. Even if the Dolphins continue its fine defensive play, the Jets are going to look to get its run game involved and play the field position battle.

Similar to Wilson's receptions prop, I don't want to target yardage but rather usage, so I'll go for the rush attempts prop here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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