Jets vs. Bills best NFL prop bets for Week 11

Nov 12, 2023; Paradise, Nevada, USA; New York Jets running back Breece Hall (20) runs the ball
Nov 12, 2023; Paradise, Nevada, USA; New York Jets running back Breece Hall (20) runs the ball / Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Both the New York Jets and Buffalo Bills play on Sunday in Week 11 action in hopes of remaining in the hunt for an AFC Wild Card berth.

Each team is coming off a loss in Week 10 and are in desperate need of a win on Sunday in Western New York, can the Jets lean on its ground game with budding star Breece Hall, and it's stifling defense to shut down Josh Allen and the Bills offense? Here's how I'm eyeing the key matchups of this divisional showdown in the player prop market!

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Best Prop Bets for Jets vs. Bills in Week 11

  • Breece Hall OVER 55.5 rushing yards
  • Zach Wilson UNDER 32.5 pass attempts
  • Josh Allen to throw an interception

Breece Hall OVER 55.5 rushing yards

Hall continues to split time with Dalvin Cook in the backfield, but has had more than 11 carries in five straight games and now draws a poor Buffalo rush defense.

Much has been made about the Bills' offensive woes, but the defense is a big part of the team's concerning season, 19th in EPA/Rush. Hall has proven to be explosive despite suffering a season ending torn ACL last season, and given the team's need to establish the run with a limited Wilson, I believe he's primed to get over what's a median outcome for him.

Zach Wilson UNDER 32.5 pass attempts

The Jets are going to try and play the field position battle against Allen and the Bills on Sunday, feeding the aforementioned Hall and hope to generate a few turnovers and convert in a timely manner to generate points.

We have seen Wilson struggle during his time with the Jets and this season is no different. The team has simplified the playbook for him and is more than content to limit his mistakes rather than force him into throws he can't make. With that being said, I'm going to go for his under pass attempts in what could quickly become a defensive struggle like the team's Week 1 win against the Bills.

While Wilson has gone over this mark in his last three games, I'm going to bank on the team's preferred game script against a division rival and take his under.

Josh Allen to throw an interception

It's pricey, but Allen has thrown an interception in all but two games this season, tossing three against the Jets in Week 1's overtime loss at MetLife Stadium.

The Jets defense has had Allen's number over his career, forcing 10 interceptions in 10 games and the team is at its best on defense this season, tops in Pro Football Focus' coverage grade. I never like laying a chalky price on this, but Allen is simply too turnover prone not to take a shot with Gang Green's vaunted defense.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Track Reed's bets here!