Jaguars vs. Jets Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 16 (New York Ends Jacksonville's Playoff Push)

By Ben Heisler
New York Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner (1) celebrates after breaking up a deep pass.
New York Jets cornerback Sauce Gardner (1) celebrates after breaking up a deep pass. / Sam Greene/The Enquirer / USA TODAY
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The New York Jets nearly pulled it off against the red-hot Detroit Lions in Week 15, holding one of the most prolific offenses in the NFL of late to just 13 points in the first 58 minutes of the game.

Unfortunately, Jared Goff made yet another timely throw as he's done since Week 10, giving the Lions a crushing 20-17 victory in the Meadowlands, as Brock Wright found a wide open spot on a broken coverage play to deliver the finishing blow.

Now, it's déjà vu all over again as the Jets host another team in the midst of a mid-season surge in the Jacksonville Jaguars on Thursday Night Football. Since starting 2-6, the Jags have won four of their last six games, including scoring an average of 38 points against two of the best defenses in the NFL in Tennessee and Dallas.

Here's how the oddsmakers see it playing out in prime-time on Thursday.

Jaguars vs. Jets Odds, Spread and Total

Jaguars vs. Jets Betting Trends for Week 16

Jaguars:

  • Jacksonville is 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games, but are just 2-8-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 11 matchups on the road, and 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23. For his career, Trevor Lawrence is just 2-13 SU on the road, and 4-11-0 ATS.

Jets:

  • When the Jets fail to cover, they respond the following game. New York is 6-0 ATS in their last six games after failing to cover, and are 5-1 ATS in their last six matchups after a SU loss.

Jaguars vs. Jets Prediction and Pick

I got burned taking the Jets on the moneyline last week vs. the Lions, but like Charlie Brown running towards Lucy with the football in hand, I'm ready to give it one last try.

Even in a loss, I'm not going to let one bad play change my opinion of how good this defense is. They held the Lions' run game to 3.8 yards/carry and kept them out of the end zone, and only gave up one touchdown all day on that busted coverage play late in the ballgame. The special teams blunder allowing Kalif Raymond to score on a 47-yard punt return was rough, but I buy into New York's ability to stop teams on defense.

They'll need to be special again against Lawrence, who's been all-worldly since the second half of the season.

There's plenty of trends to back up the Jets in this spot. Lawrence and the Jags come off a short week and off an overtime win at home, and now have to travel on a short week to a team playing a second straight game in their stadium. Furthermore, Lawrence has only won two games in his career on the road.

Depending on your preference, as well as your choice of sportsbook, you can either back the Jets on the moneyline at a slight discount, or you can pay a little more and get them plus a point and a half. Given how I expect this matchup to likely come down to the wire, I'll give myself a little more breathing room and take the points.

Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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