Don't expect big fantasy numbers from Garrett Wilson early in 2022

NY Jets, Garrett Wilson
NY Jets, Garrett Wilson / Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

The NY Jets drafted Garrett Wilson 10th overall in this year's NFL Draft because they believe he can be a future star wide receiver in the NFL, and while that may be true, expectations should certainly be tempered for his rookie season.

That's especially true when it comes to evaluating him from a fantasy perspective. Wilson may be a great target in dynasty leagues, but in re-draft leagues where your sole focus is on the 2022 season, he's not someone you want to rely on.

Wilson's current ADP depends on what source you want to use, but he's safely in that WR43-WR55 range. He's a tier six wide receiver but also someone who doesn't possess the immediate upside that most probably believe he does.

As the year goes on, Wilson's fantasy value will very likely increase, but don't expect significant production out of him early in the season.

Why Garrett Wilson isn't an appealing fantasy option early in 2022

At best, Wilson enters the year as the fourth-best target in the Jets' offense. He's behind Elijah Moore, Corey Davis, and Tyler Conklin. Given what we've seen this summer, it's hard to argue against that notion.

There's also Breece Hall who figures to receive plenty of targets out of the backfield, Braxton Berrios who will still have a role, and even Michael Carter and C.J. Uzomah will command targets of their own.

There are too many mouths to feed and Wilson isn't among the top targets for his team. That alone will limit his early-season ceiling.

On top of that, the offensive scheme he's being asked to learn is a notoriously difficult one for young wide receivers. It's why we didn't see Elijah Moore begin to truly break out until the middle of last season.

Wilson struggled with drops this summer and is being asked to learn all three wide receiver spots in a complex offensive system. It's certainly reasonable to expect that Wilson won't make a significant impact early on.

In an ideal world, Wilson hits the ground running and emerges as one of the top-two targets in the Jets' offense by the end of the season. While that could still happen, the safer bet is to assume that it takes him a while to get up to speed.

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Don't draft in your fantasy football leagues Garrett Wilson expecting immediate production. He's very much a stash-and-wait player.