The Jets have made a quarterback move heading into the first ever Black Friday NFL game.
Tim Boyle draws the start for Gang Green in hopes of giving the offense a jolt against an AFC East rival. How should we target Boyle's player props as well as stud running back Breece Hall, who draws a favorable matchup against the Dolphins' lackluster rush defense?
Here are our three favorite player props for Friday's matchup. I suggest signing up for FanDuel Sportsbook to get some bonus bets to play these prop bets! All you have to do is sign up with the link below, bet $5 on any moneyline, and get $150 in bonus bets once that bet hits!
Best NFL prop bets for Dolphins vs. Jets in Week 12
- Tim Boyle over 30.5 pass attempts
- Breece Hall over 49.5 rushing yards
- Raheem Mostert 59.5 rushing yards
Tim Boyle over 30.5 pass attempts
I think this number is skewing too far down given that Boyle is a third-string quarterback. The gap between Wilson and Boyle is tangible, but I don't envision the play-calling changing that much, especially given that the Dolphins are sure to put the Jets in a negative game script early.
Wilson cleared this mark in six of nine games this season ahead of last week's benching, so I believe with a similar play sheet, we see Boyle get over this mark.
Breece Hall over 49.5 rushing yards
The Dolphins have received a big boost in the secondary with the return of Jalen Ramsey, but the rush defense remains a big concern, 27th in EPA/Rush. Hall is the bell-cow back in the Jets' offense, getting double-digit carries in six straight games,
While I think Boyle is going to pass at an average rate, the Jets are still going to lean on the second-year back, this number is being weighed down by back-to-back games of under 30 yards.
Raheem Mostert over 59.5 rushing yards
We must acknowledge the Jets are going up against a wagon of an offense in the Dolphins. The team is second in EPA/Play, using its speed to spread defenses out and win in multiple ways.
I'm targeting the team's ability to run the ball effectively, fourth in EPA/Rush, as the team is focused on limiting big plays to the likes of Tyreek Hill in the passing game. Mostert is the consistent threat in the Dolphins' ground game as the team still looks to re-integrate De'Von Achane.
Mostert has cleared this mark in his last two games and has received double-digit carries in all but two games this season. The volume is there for Mostert to clear this mark.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
Track Reed's bets here!