5 way too early stat predictions for the NY Jets in 2023

1. Aaron Rodgers will break the NY Jets all-time passing record for TDs in a season

This is the greatest example of a 'mild prediction disguised as a hot take' that I could possibly come up with. There are a few franchises whose passing TD records are in the 40s, others that even go into the 50s, but the lowly Jets' record is 31 in a season. Only the Browns (30) and the Bears (29) have lower passing records.

31 is pretty doable - in the last three seasons 14 different QBs through for 30+ touchdowns in at least one of those seasons while six of those QBs threw for 30+ touchdowns in two or more of the last three seasons.

Aaron Rodgers is of course one of those six QBs, as he set the Packers' all-time touchdown pass record at 48 in 2020 a mere three years ago. He followed that up with 37 in 2021 and then 26 last season in a year where he lost his offensive coordinator and number one receiver in the same offseason.

This year, reunited with his offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett and given a new bonafide WR1 in Garrett Wilson, there is absolutely no reason to doubt that he can't climb above 31 this season. The Jets did a fantastic job building depth on the offensive line and luckily Rodgers' weapons aren't limited to just Wilson and Lazard.

Corey Davis, Tyler Conklin, Mecole Hardman, and even a few running backs should be receiving touchdowns throughout the year so I'm fairly confident this won't have to be tweaked when I redo this article in September - start working on your touchdown dances!