3 trade packages the NY Jets can offer for Aaron Rodgers
By Justin Fried
3. The NY Jets give up their first-round pick trade package
What if the Packers are committed to receiving a first-round pick in this year's draft? After all, Green Bay could save significant money if they wait to make a trade until after Jun. 1.
The biggest downside with that, however, aside from a limited market, would be that the Packers would defer their draft compensation a year. They want their picks and they want them now.
The Jets could entertain trading their first-round pick, but only if they receive some draft compensation back. In this scenario, the Jets trade back from No. 13 to No. 45 in the second round and receive a fourth-round pick (No. 115) for their troubles.
They, obviously, receive Rodgers as well and send the Packers a conditional 2024 second-round pick. The conditions for this pick could be similar to the conditions we've discussed already.
Using Jimmy Johnson's trade valuation model, the difference between picks No. 13 and No. 45 is roughly equivalent to the 27th overall pick in the draft. If you subtract the value of that fourth-round pick then it's roughly the value of the 31st or 32nd pick in the draft.
That means the Jets would be sending the equivalent of a very late first-round pick to the Packers for Rodgers, as well as a potential second-round pick in 2024. Ultimately, it's similar value to the first trade package on this list.
The benefit for Green Bay is that they receive an extra first-round pick in this year's draft, which is always more valuable than waiting until 2024. After all, the expectation is that the Jets would pick later than No. 13 next year (at least, that's the hope).
For the Jets, they would still have two top-45 picks, as well as a pair of fourth-round selections, to do some damage with. A trade-up would always be possible if need be.
These three trade packages all feel reasonable to me — a lot more reasonable than the two first-round picks package that's been proposed. What do you think?