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Frank Reich points to analytics when defending Jets' game-deciding play vs. Packers

The data backed it up.
ByCharlie Baduini
Green Bay Packers safety Evan Williams tackles New York Jets running back Braelon Allen
Green Bay Packers safety Evan Williams tackles New York Jets running back Braelon Allen | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

The New York Jets' Week 2 loss to the Green Bay Packers was a maddening one. The Jets had that game in the palm of their hands, boasting a two-score lead with roughly 10 minutes to go in the fourth quarter. Then, some questionable coaching decisions and missed plays cost them the win.

Fans can point the finger in any which direction they want, but the reality is, there's a slice of blame pie to go around to everyone. The coaching staff and players each had their chances to seal the victory, and the whole team let it slip out of their grasp.

One of the pivotal moments of the game, and arguably the play that impacted the outcome the most, was the game-deciding decision by the Jets to go for it on 4th & 1 from midfield with one minute and 20 seconds remaining on the clock.

Offensive coordinator Frank Reich dialed up a run play for Braelon Allen in shotgun formation, and Allen was stonewalled. The Jets turned it over on downs, leading to overtime and the eventual loss.

But why did the Jets decide to run it there? Would they have been better off throwing the ball? Running a play from under center? Why did New York go with a handoff in shotgun?

Frank Reich defends New York Jets decision to run the ball on 4th & 1 vs. Packers

Speaking with reporters on Thursday, Reich came prepared with statistics and data to back up the Jets' decision to use the exact play they did this past Sunday against Green Bay.

"Over a five-year study... gun runs are set on 4th & 1 are 71% conversion. Under center are 67% conversion. So the gun runs, actually better. And the reason it's better is because, or percentage wise, over a five-year period, it's because there's a threat of a pass, and they don't get so tight. So, like, we have that perspective going in."

It's nice to hear Reich come out and defend a decision, not just with the usual coach-speak. Instead of falling back on "we need to execute better," the veteran offensive coordinator cited the data that made them comfortable with the play.

In fairness, the play totally could have worked. Tight end Jeremy Ruckert whiffed a block on Packers edge Lukas Van Ness, who was able to get behind the line of scrimmage and bring down Allen for no gain.

Glass half full, the Jets have sound reasoning backed up by analytics and data on all of their biggest in-game decisions. Even if, in the moment, it doesn't feel like it.

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