Here are my final NFL picks for Week 6. It’s time to analyze each and every game to give you the best suggestions on who will wind up winning.
Week 6 of the NFL is finally here as some good matchups await the football world. Here are my final picks and predictions for every game being played today and on Monday Night Football. Please keep in mind that all lines are supplied by our partner Sports Book Review.
Green Bay (-3) at Minnesota
This would have been a very tough game for Green Bay on the road. However, due to now three key players on the Vikings being out, things are leaning more towards the Packers. Starting quarterback Sam Bradford and wide receiver Stefon Diggs are out. Running back Dalvin Cook who is out for the season takes away a huge chunk of their offense. I can’t see who will step up on the offensive side of the ball for Minnesota. As a result, they will have a very tough time countering Green Bays potent offensive assault.
Pick: Green Bay 30 Minnesota 17
Cleveland at Houston (-10.5)
Houston looks to have found their franchise quarterback in Deshaun Watson. He has thrown 12 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions, while the Browns have allowed 12 passing touchdowns, tied for 29th in the league. The Deshaun Watson show will continue, while the Browns stay winless on the season at 0-6. Cleveland is also 1-4 ATS.
Pick: Houston 30 Cleveland 13
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Detroit at New Orleans (-3)
Saints are coming off their bye week. Last game they shutout the Miami Dolphins on the road 20-0. Saints have won their last five games coming off their bye’s.
Detroit has won their last three games against the Saints which includes their last two at the Superdome. Matthew Stafford will be playing with a banged up ankle. Drew Brees has thrown eight touchdowns and hasn’t been picked off yet. Both these defenses are tough. One of the toughest games on this weeks schedule. I’d cautiously take the Saints.
Pick: New Orleans 24 Detroit 20
Miami at Atlanta (-9)
Another team coming off a bye, the Atlanta Falcons are 7-1 off bye weeks. Miami’s defense is tough giving up the fourth least points in the league per game at 16.8. But there is no way I’m betting on Jay Cutler who is down one wide receiver DeVante Parker. With Matt Ryan getting back his top receiver this week Julio Jones and with a monster backfield that includes star Devonta Freeman, Atlanta will cruise in this one.
Pick: Atlanta 28 Miami 13
New England (-10.5) at New York Jets
Nobody would have thought that after five weeks these two teams would be tied for first in the AFC East. The Jets are playing with a purpose and now face their rival New England Patriots who have stumbled out of the gate this year. New England is no longer the superpower they once were. They are second to last against the pass and 24th against the run. The Jets will be likely missing a key piece in their offense with a limited Bilal Powell due to a calf injury but on the other hand, his backup Elijah McGuire is fit to fill his role. The Jets will be ready.
Pick: New York 24 New England 21
Chicago at Baltimore (-6.5)
One of my keys into who will win is which team has the better turnover ration. This is the one game on this week’s schedule that should certainly give you a winner. The Bears are dead last in the turnover ratio column (minus -9). While the Ravens are at a (plus +3) as this spells bad news for rookie quarterback Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears.
Pick: Baltimore 24 Chicago 10
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San Francisco at Washington (-9)
The winless 49ers head into Washington to face one of the top defenses in the league. Plus a quarterback in Kirk Cousins who takes care of the ball and doesn’t make many mistakes, only one interception thrown this season. With top cornerback Josh Norman swarming the 49ers top receiver former redskin Pierre Garcon, San Francisco will stay winless at 0-6.
Pick: Washington 27 San Francisco 13
Next: Next: 4 p.m. games plus Sunday and Monday Night Football
Tampa Bay at Arizona (PK)
The Cardinals got smoked last week 34-7 in Philadelphia. The Cardinals looking for help in their running game traded for an old and beat up Adrian Peterson. That’s certainly not going to help them. They will need to air it out once again in order to beat the Buccaneers. If they try to get Peterson going, it will not work. Tampa Bay finally got their pass rush going last week sacking Tom Brady three times. Tampa Bay is fully healthy and top cornerback Patrick Peterson is dealing with a banged up knee. I see the Bucs offense running on all cylinders this week.
Pick: Tampa Bay 31 Arizona 17
LA Rams at Jacksonville (PK)
As I previously stated turnover ratio is a key stat I look at when picking games. This one is a doozy as Jacksonville is tops in the league with a ratio of (minus-10). While Los Angeles is only (minus -1) Yes, Jared Goff is having a fine rookie season, but this week who goes against the top team in the league with ten interceptions? I love turnovers and the Jaguars in this one.
Pick: Jacksonville 24 Los Angeles 13
LA Chargers at Oakland (-4)
Oakland gets star quarterback Derek Carr back this Sunday against the Chargers. Oakland has won their last four against them. While Carr is returning from a back injury, expect them to run, run and run against the worst run defense in the league that is giving up 161 yards a game. Beast Mode Marshawn Lynch will bust out in this matchup. It will be a very close contest that I suggest staying away from picking outright.
Pick: Oakland 27 Los Angeles 23
Pittsburgh (-3.5) at Kansas City
Kansas City is without a loss this season at 5-0. Pittsburgh could very well end the Chiefs winning streak as they have won 5 of their last 6. But just one at home which came back in 2011. The Steelers just love playing against this team so I don’t expect the Chiefs to go undefeated this year and I’m picking this as the game they finally lose.
Pick: Pittsburgh 31 Kansas City20
New York Giants at Denver (-9)
The Giants are the most banged up team in the NFL right now, so bad that even a college team could beat them. Plus they go on the road to face the number one run defense in the league. This one won’t be pretty or even close. The point spread should be in double digits. This is my pick of the week.
Pick: Denver 41 New York Giants 3
Indianapolis at Tennesse (-6.5)
Whew, I haven’t come across a streak like this in a very long time. Colts have won their last 11 against the Titans. On the other hand, all good things must come to an end. No Andrew Luck behind center plus the Colts are giving up a whopping 31.8 points a contest. That is the most in the league. Plus it looks like Marcus Mariota will suit up for this one. This will though be an exciting offensive battle on Monday Night.
Pick: Tennessee 31 Indianapolis 30