NFL Picks Week 4: Final predictions for Sunday and Monday games
By Brian Murphy
Heading into a full slate of games on Sunday and Monday, here are some final NFL picks and predictions including all spreads.
After a 6-7-1 Week 3, I am back for Week 4 of this young NFL season. So apparently, the best game of last week was the one that I thought nobody was going to watch. The Rams and 49ers absolutely lit it up and kicked off Week 3 with a bang, especially for those fantasy football owners that had players from that matchup playing.
Week 3 also showed us that Tom Brady will now and forever will not be considered human. Marching down the field to win the game on a dime TD pass to Brandin Cooks. This week, I see the scoring continue in another group of marquee matchups.
A must-see matchup this week is the Detroit Lions traveling to Minnesota to face the Vikings, with Detroit coming off a loss. Expect to see Matthew Stafford continue to light it up. Week 4 has a full slate of action and should not disappoint.
Below are my final predictions for every game being played on Sunday and Monday. These lines are courtesy of our partner site, Sports Book Review.
New Orleans vs. Miami Dolphins (Even) 10/1 9:30 am
Another game in London, which means another early start for football fans everywhere. First things first here, allow me to laugh at the Miami Dolphins for their performance and ruining survivor pools everywhere. The Jets absolutely dominated them on both sides of the ball. Jay Cutler looked horrible and Josh McCown looked like Aaron Rodgers throwing the ball downfield almost at will. Now, this is a league where adjustments are made on a week to week basis so the Phins will do so, but if you couldn’t contain McCown and the Jets how do you plan to do the same with future Pro Football Hall of Famer Drew Brees and that high-powered offense? I guess since this game is being played in London is why the spread opened even and given the Saints road history but coming off a road win last week, look for the Saints to fill up the stat sheet and win this one big.
Pick New Orleans
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens (+1.5) 10/1 1:00 pm
These games are always close. Joe Flacco had one of if not the worst game of his career last week in a blowout loss against Jacksonville in London. The Steelers lost in overtime in Chicago last week as well. The spread here is small and is screaming Pittsburgh. The high-octane offense of the Steelers is really all I need since Baltimore is just a boring football team. Sure, the Ravens defense is good, they are always “good” but the days of Ray Lewis are long gone and there is just nothing that intrigues me about them. Take the Steelers here and enjoy.
Pick Pittsburgh -1.5
Carolina Panthers vs. New England Patriots (-8) 10/1 1:00 pm
The Pats did not cover last week but won in dramatic fashion. Tom Brady was Tom Brady when he needed to be Tom Brady. It is truly unbelievable what this guy can do in the clutch moments. On the other hand, the Panthers and Cam Newton looked awful. Rookie Christian McCaffery had a good game but besides that, they are not a cohesive unit yet. I trust the Patriots to cover and destroy in this one. Tom should light it up once again.
Take New England -8
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Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans (+1.5) 10/1 1:00 pm
Last week was a test that the Tennessee Titans passed and are now a team that everyone must take seriously. The Houston Texans and rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson almost did the unthinkable and won in Foxboro. Impressive to say the least. Week 3 was the week of the home underdogs telling Vegas oddsmakers to look the other way. I am still in shock that Houston almost won but almost does not count, I think the Titans are the better team here. Tennessee’s good ground and balanced air attack with prevail in this one.
Pick Tennessee -1.5
Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings (No Opening Line) 10/1 1:00 pm
The Lions had a tough week last week, with that last-second loss at home to the Falcons. Stafford is in the early conversation for league MVP and has that offense firing on all cylinders. The Minnesota Vikings won last week despite not have starting quarterback Sam Bradford for a second straight week. Backup Case Keenum ran the offense with balance, setting up the run game to allow for play action and to open the deep pass. Just ask Stefon Diggs. This game is in Minnesota and the status of Bradford is that he’s out. The spread for this one should be small. I like this Minnesota team and last week they showed that they have a plan and if they stick to it they have the weapons to be dangerous on both sides of the ball. Oh yeah, not to forget but Xavier Rhodes is a true shutdown corner.
Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons (-7.5) 10/1 1:00 pm
Atlanta barely escaped Detroit with a win last week but that doesn’t say anything about them as a football team. I think they are the best team in the league. The Bills did defeat the Broncos in Buffalo last week. I am still not sold on them and don’t really expect this one to be close. There are always shocker games but this one will not be it, survivor pools have their lock this week in the Falcons.
Pick Atlanta -7.5
Los Angeles Rams vs. Dallas Cowboys (-8.5) 10/1 1:00 pm
Dak is back! Dallas won impressively on Monday Night in Arizona, under the stellar play of their second-year quarterback and defensive powerhouse Demarcus Lawrence who recorded 3 sacks on Carson Palmer to have the early league lead in that category (6). The Rams shocked the world last week and not because they won the game but because they lit up the scoreboard again and played in a game with such high drama. This L.A. offense can score some points, huh? Can they give it to the Cowboys? I am going out on a limb with this one and taking the points here. Jared Goff will keep this game close and I don’t think the Rams win but they will cover the 8.5.
Pick Los Angeles +8.5
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns (+2.5) 10/1 1:00 pm
In this week’s edition of the who cares game of the week, we get the exciting Bengals and the high-powered Browns. The Bengals did take the Packers to overtime last week but gave Rodgers his first overtime win of his career. The Browns lost to a Jacoby Brissett led Colts team. I like the Bengals here because I think that Andy Dalton is finally going to start waking up out of the funk he was in and start playing football again.
Pick Cincinnati -2.5
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets (+3.5) 10/1 1:00 pm
THESE JETS BABY!! Coming off a blowout, embarrassment, thumping of the Miami Dolphins at MetLife Stadium last week, now another team from Florida comes to town. The Jags put up an impressive 44 points on the Ravens in London last Sunday.
The Jags defense has been stellar so far this year and I think have a true superstar on their hands in cornerback Jalen Ramsey. Now for all you Jet fans out there hoping and praying that they will be in a position to draft USC quarterback Sam Darnold next year, you better buckle up because this is not the worst team in football. Oh by the way, the Jets win this one and go 2-0 against the state of Florida this year.
Pick New York +3.5
New York Giants vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4) 10/1 4:05 pm
The Giants are back. Last week was a fluke considering that they covered the spread and lost on a hail mary 61-yard field goal in Philadelphia. It’s simple when Odell Beckham Jr is in the lineup they are a different team. Opposing teams must change up their strategy and it opens it up for everyone else on the field. Forget his antics as he is their most important player and is needed on the field always. The Giants turn their season around this week and get their first win.
Pick New York +4
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers (-1) 10/1 4:05 pm
The Eagles are coming off an awesome win at home due to the aforementioned 61-yard field goal to beat the NFC East rival Giants. Now they travel cross-country to face the Chargers. I don’t hate the Chargers I just do not trust them at all. It’s a shame that such a talent like Philip Rivers can’t get the weapons he deserves. I don’t like the travel here for the birds but I don’t like the Chargers at all either.
Pick Philadelphia +1
San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals (-6) 10/1 4:05 pm
After the classic Thursday night game, the 49ers should be flying high. Regardless of the fact that they lost the game, they put up points. Now they travel to Arizona to face a Cardinal team that started off hot on the first drive of their Monday night matchup against the Dallas Cowboys but then went ice cold, showing their true colors. The spread here is 6 and I don’t like this Cardinals team this year, take the ground game of San Fran here.
Pick San Francisco +6
Oakland Raiders vs. Denver Broncos (Even) 10/1 4:25 pm
The Broncos are coming off a very disappointing showing in Buffalo last week, where they really could not get anything going. Now they return home to host Oakland who is also coming off a disappointing showing in Washington on Sunday Night. Tough one to pick here. The travel should not be an issue for Oakland in this one and I do think they are the better team. Take the silver and black.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Seattle Seahawks (-11.5) 10/1 8:30 pm
Brissett played well last week, even though they played the Browns, he did enough to win and had zero turnovers. Now they travel to the land of the 12th man and should be overwhelmed. I don’t like the Colts at all here and think Seattle on both sides of the ball should dominate. Spread here is big but still doesn’t matter. Take the Seahawks.
Pick Seattle -11.5
Washington Redskins vs. Kansas City Chiefs (-7) 10/2 8:30 pm
Monday Night Football features two teams coming in hot. The Redskins coming off a big win over a preseason Super Bowl favorite Oakland team and the Chiefs are coming in undefeated. This Kansas City team is a great one and I think at home in this one their defense will take care of business and continue this run to the playoffs.
Pick Kansas City -7
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