Breaking Down The Potential New York Jets Draftees: Tight End

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Eric_Ebron_2013Yards after contact is another important metrics showing power and strength to go along with the speed and athleticism. Troy Niklas led this list with 3.6 yards after contact, followed by Ebron at 3.5 then Rodgers at 3.31, Amaro at 2.96 and Seferian-Jenkins with a poor 1.96 yards after contact. Niklas’ strength is reflected both here and with his blocking so his number is not surprising and Ebron’s freakish speed/power combination is certainly on display.

Where do they line up is another question teams ask when looking for versatile tight ends who exploit mismatches. Amaro and Rodgers were glorified receivers as they caught over 80% of their balls from the slot with Amaro catching 87.5% of his there. Amaro was lined up in-line slightly more than 10% of the time which means he was used to utilize his size and speed to overpower nickel backs and safeties. Putting him out there also gives him the opportunity to have a mostly free release definitely cleaner than having to bust through a linebacker or defensive lineman. Rodgers is a converted receiver so his numbers are not surprising at all. Niklas is the closest thing to a traditional tight end catching 70.5% of his balls from in-line. He has experience lining up all over the field with nearly 10% of his catches coming from out of the backfield, 13% from the slot (by far the lowest of the group), and lining up as an outside receiver nearly 6% of the time. Niklas has the ability to do whatever is asked of him on the football field. Seferian-Jenkins was the most varied having 10% or more in all categories with nearly 50% of his catches coming in-line. That shows the potential is there for him to grow from the raw player he is right now. Ebron was in the slot 72% of the time and was in-line just 21% of the time but he did line up outside almost 7% of the time as well not surprising because of the mismatches he causes.

Dec 30, 2013; San Diego, CA, USA; Texas Tech Red Raiders wide receiver Jace Amaro (22) after the Texas Tech Red Raiders defeated the Arizona State Sun Devils in the Holiday Bowl at Qualcomm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

How often do they drop the ball? Seferian-Jenkins led the way at 5.41% then Amaro and Rodgers at 7.69% all of which is at or below average. Ebron had the worst drop rate at 11.43% and Niklas was at 8.57%. The author did add that Niklas had the fewest reps and that his numbers were most likely to be skewed in this metric as it takes less drops to move his percentage up compared to the rest of the group.

Blocking is not included as a metric but is important especially to the Jets who run the football often. Niklas, who is 6’7″ and 270 pounds, might be the best blocker in the NFL in two to three years, according to Mike Mayock on his pre-combine conference call. C.J. Fiedorowicz is considered by many to be the one of the best blocking tight ends in the draft but none of the rest of the group is renowned for their blocking. Fiedorowicz is also 6’7″ and he weighs 265 pounds so the ability for mismatches with defensive backs and safeties make him an intriguing prospect as well. Iowa did not use him in roles like that so he will have to prove at the Combine that he has the ability to fulfill his potential. There is more pressure on him because there is little tape to fall back on. On the other end of the spectrum, Richard Rodgers is a converted receiver who is still learning the position, but at 6’4″ and 275 pounds he has the frame to do it once he learns. Eric Ebron may have the slightest frame of the group at 245 pounds but, according to WalterFootball.com, he “flashes some impressive blocking potential…just needs to work on consistency.” According to the same site Seferian-Jenkins “showed some improvement as a blocker and was a contributor to (Bishop) Sankey’s big season on the ground”. Matt Waldman of FootballOutsiders.com says of Amaro’s blocking potential “Amaro doesn’t face professional-caliber athletes on a weekly basis as a blocker and NFL defenders will push his technique to its limits. However, blocking is also the most promising facet of Amaro’s play and his athleticism and attitude provide a glimpse of his potential to grow into one of the best in the game.” However NFL.com does say that Amaro’s blocking “is a sticking point for some teams”.

The Jets have been saying that character concerns would be considered in their personnel decisions as part of the “Play like a Jet” mantra so taking a look a red flags may help more accurately predict players the Jets may be interested in. Jace Amaro was arrested in 2012 for using a credit card without his name on it and according to the Lubbock Advance-Journal tried to get out of it by saying “we’re football players”. This is an incident he will have to answer for in player interviews this  week at the Combine. In 2013, Austin Seferian-Jenkins was arrested and pled guilty to driving under the influence. He served one day in jail and missed one game. This will be another issue for the interviews to sort out whether this is something he has learned from and is not likely to repeat or if he is still a risk.

In my article predicting the 2014 starters I have the Jets drafting Troy Niklas. You can read that here. I believe that he can be a mismatch that gets down the seam and makes big plays as well as a blocker who can help in the running game. In this league you need a player like Niklas not only for his ability but as contrast to a more pure receiver like Ebron. Obviously the Jets can’t have both but pairing Niklas with a “Joker” tight end that splits out in the slot more often than not like Jermichael Finley would make both players better. Niklas would make things easier for Jeff Cumberland as well taking some of his blocking duties away from him as well as drawing more favorable coverage match ups.

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Tags: 2014 Nfl Draft Austin Seferian-jenkins New York Jets Tight End

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