What would it take for the New York Jets to trade up in the 2014 NFL Draft?

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Let’s tell it how it is…

larry-fitzgeraldThe majority of Jets Nation would like to see the Jets use all of the 8-12 draft choices they will have in this year’s draft. There’s nothing wrong with this philosophy, by the way. But the Jets are lacking a true #1 receiver. Staying put at 18th overall could jeopardize their chances of landing such a talent. When you think about elite #1 receivers around the league, you think Calvin Johnson. You think AJ Green, Dez Bryant, Larry Fitzgerald, or even Josh Gordon.

The depth at the wide receiver position in this years draft is deep. With that said, the difference between Sammy Watkins and Mike Evans is big, in my opinion.

Sammy Watkins is the next Larry Fitzgerald. He’s likely the best weapon the Jets could add to help surround Geno Smith. Besides the fact that your giving up valuable draft picks, it is worth the risk in this day in age. The CBA and salary cap implications give teams the opportunity to sign draft picks to a deal using the rookie wage scale. That means Watkins would only be paid up to $15 Million over four years (with a fifth year option).

So what would it take for the Jets to trade up?

According to ESPN’s NFL Draft Value Chart, the Jets would have to give up their 1st rd. pick (#18), 2nd (#49) 3rd rd. pick (Revis trade #69), and 5th (#142) rd. pick, and *6th rd. pick (#178).

*Keep in mind that the Jets could opt to trade one of the picks above in the 2015 NFL Draft, rather than this year’s draft.

After adding all of the points for the picks listed above, the Jets  trade value is around 1612. The total required for the 6th overall pick is 1600. It’s a lot to give up, without a doubt.

Yeah, five players should have a bigger impact than one, but you don’t come across a Larry Fitzgerald-type-talent very often. Last year’s 8th overall pick was a speedster who’s draft stock sky-rocketed days before the draft, in Tavon Austin. But he isn’t a true #1 receiver like Julio Jones or AJ Green, who are the only noticeable top picks (WR) in the past few drafts. Sammy Watkins is a lot like Julio Jones. The Falcons gave up a lot to draft Jones in the 2011 NFL Draft, but do you really think Atlanta regrets the trade? I highly doubt it.

If you think about certain drafts like the 2009 and 2013 NFL Draft, the first round talents in those classes were atrocious compared to the 2011 NFL Draft class. The 2009 wide receivers were Michael Crabtree, Darrius Heyward-bey, and Percy Harvin. None of these wide outs are elite #1 receivers. The 2013 draft had Tavon Austin, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Deandre Hopkins; none of which are elite #1 receivers either, in my opinion.

What’s my point?

 

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Tags: 2014 Nfl Draft Marty Mornhinweg New York Jets Sammy Watkins

  • Paul Newbold

    Insanity!! I agree Watkins is far above the rest of this class, but the class is still outstanding. To trade a #1, #2, #3, and numbers 5 and 6 for one player is just crazy! Every team has 8 picks going into the draft plus compensatory picks, so what you are proposing is basically trading away 3/4 of the annual draft for one player? Too many holes on this team to even contemplate!! I firmly believe the Jets stay put at #18, they might try to work their way back into the second to acquire two 2nd rounders, but otherwise I think Idzik will use his picks as they stand.

    • JETSerious

      Thanks for the comment, Paul. You make a good point. This article is more hypothetical than anything. I believe we will stay put at 18, and rightfully so. With that said, this is mainly just looking through the eyes of a trade. It’s very unlikely that it would happen, as you probably know.

      Thanks again for reading!

  • Ozman

    How about Brandon Coleman WR from Rutgers this kid is a beast .. I will not give all those picks just for Sammy watskins not a good Idea at all ..

    • JETSerious

      Thanks for the comment! It is a lot to give up just for one player. Watkins is the only prospect that I would trade for, but after calculating the numbers and what it would take to trade up, it’s very gutsy. As for Brandon Coleman, I’ll have to do some research. To be honest, I am not familiar with him yet, so It’d be foolish for me to comment.

      Stay tuned & vote for our TJP Hall of Fame Nominees at The Jet Press!

    • Brian MacNiven

      Brandon Coleman has the potential to be a number 1 receiver, however he is too raw at this point in time and needs to develop. I do believe that he is worth a look in the 3rd/4th round and could be a valuable pick up to any team looking for a big Alshon Jeffery type receiver as long as they have the patience.

  • Brian MacNiven

    First of all, Dez Bryant is elite. Nice call.

    Secondly, I am curious as to how you calculated the cost for moving up to six (#18, #49, #69, #142, #178). That seems like an immensely steep price to move up 12 slots. I am inquiring because the Cowboys moved up 8 spots to snag Morris Claiborne with the #6 pick in the 2012 draft and it only cost them picks #14 and #45 (1st and 2nd Round). Could you shed some light on your reasoning?

    Lastly, I agree that trading up for the clearly elite Watkins is an instant game changer and could be worth the risk for the right trade. If not I think the Jets should stay put and wait on Evans, however if he is no longer around they should consider trading back with the potential to pick up Benjamin or just stockpile draft picks to fill more holes. Let me know what you think!

  • Van Hazard

    Trading up for Watkins is a really bad idea. Not only would it cost picks Jets desperately need to fill numerous holes, but it dismisses the hard fact that the Jets don’t need one great WR opposing DC’s can take out of games, but several really good ones that give Marty and Geno multiple options and play-makers to work with.

    IF Jets were to move up it should be only a spot or two, and only to get Ebron @ TE. There are perhaps ten quality WR’s in this draft…ALL better than any receiver the Jets currently have. Get your play-making TE in first round…either Ebron or Amaro…then circle back and get a WR with second pick…or maybe get creative and bundle their second rounder with another pick or two (They have two 3rd rounders) to move back into the first round to get their wideout of choice.