Feb 20, 2014; Indianapolis, IN, USA; Texas Tech offensive lineman Jace Amaro speaks during a press conference during the 2014 NFL Combine at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

2014 NFL Draft:New York Jets Three Round Prediction

I’m not an expert, but I am a good conspiracy theorist. Combining information about the invited draft prospects, with the expected positional rankings of players, and expected drafted round, I’m guessing a path of the 2014 NFL Draft. I can’t predict players as the Jets could go best available, or by need, but I think they are going to go with the best available in a specific need spot in rounds 1-3. I then think they will go best available overall in rounds 4-7.

Round one, the need pick. You need to get a surefire starter. We get caught up in superstar, but in reality you need a starter, and if he’s a star then great. The players brought in for workouts have included Odell Beckham, but more than anything have been cornerbacks. Private workouts were scheduled for Justin Gilbert, Darqueze Dennard, Kyle Fuller, Bradley Roby, and Jason Verrett. The fact alone that 5 of 30 private workouts are going to 1st round cornerbacks, and Cromartie is gone leads me to believe that more than likely the Jets will tag a defensive player in the 1st round. I’m almost certain fans will boo at another defensive first rounder, but I also think it’s for the best because you won’t find another immediate starter in the 2nd or 3rd round with players like Jean-Baptiste or Keith McGill. In this scenario, the Jets would have starters of Milliner and one of the above mentioned rookies, and let Kyle Wilson fight it out with the depth players from last year for the nickel slot.

Round two, another need pick. I can’t predict with accuracy, but I would guess they try to get a tight end over a receiver. If you noticed the players brought in for private looks, Eric Ebron wasn’t there. However, the names Seferian-Jenkins and Jace Amaro have been linked. After that I’ve heard the name CJ Fiedorowicz. I think those are round two players. I also think the Jets would have to trade up to get Amaro, or Seferian-Jenkins, but not Fiedorowicz. That being said, I think you may see the first trade of the draft for New York, perhaps sending a 4th rounder or something to move up a few spots in Round two to tag the hopeful starting tight end. Whether it’s Amaro or Seferian-Jenkins is dependant on who’s available. Fiedorowitz is a consolation prize, because he’s not as good. The one caveat being, if Ebron, Amaro, and Seferian-Jenkins are all gone between picks 15-35, I think we may still see a trade up for a receiver in round two. That being whoever falls from the tree of standouts believed to be 1st rounders including Beckham Jr, Lee, or Cooks.

Round three, if they are able to get the tight end earlier, produces the receiver everyone’s been waiting for. My guess is Bruce Ellington. I would like to see a bigger receiver, but judging by the things Idzik and Mornhinweg seem to both like, it is more of the fast and explosive type of receivers. Rumor was the Jets wanted to bring in the same type of short explosive guy in Desean Jackson if his price was more reasonable. Ellington, the 5’9″ receiver from South Carolina is short, fast, has burst, and has been compared to Randall Cobb. Also, despite his short stature, he’s 197 pounds, making him more stocky and durable. The Jets have been checking out South Carolina’s pro day, and it’s not a coincidence as it’s not to scout Clowney. Although Ellington wouldn’t start, he would add speed and explosiveness to the offense, return kickoffs and punts, be a deep threat, and an/or an underneath speedy guy in spread receiver sets. This gives the team on offense ball control elements with Chris Ivory, Eric Decker, and a big tight end, and big play potential with Chris Johnson, Ellington, and covers them with third down and red zone threats, balancing out the offense with players that work on all situations on the field.

Rounds four through seven are a toss-up, but I think this is a good starting point for what you will see in rounds one through three.

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Tags: 2014 Nfl Draft New York Jets

  • Jared

    Don’t you mean Bruce Ellington?

  • Van Hazard

    I’m not convinced the Jets will take a CB first…depends who’s still on the board. It’s very fluid. Also think that a Baptiste or McGill, etc. could wind up the starter opposite Milliner, or at least be groomed for that role while Patterson, Walls, etc. hold the fort. And I don’t think the Jets will need to move up to get their TE. It’s a virtual certainty that either ASJ, Amaro or Niklas will be there for Jets in second round.

    • Jared

      Yeah, people don’t realize how bad Cromartie was last year. Like one of the leagues worst CBs bad. I know we need a corner, but if Gilbert and Dennard are gone, I’m not reaching with the other guys. I’m thinking trade back a little in the first, take Cooks or Beckham, whomever is available. They are both 1st round worthy. If they’re both gone, take Amaro or ASJ. Get an extra pick to use for a trade to get 2 picks in the second round. Then you can take one of the better corners in the second as well as one of the top TE or WR. I really like either Allen Robinson or Paul Richardson in the 2nd. The first 3 rounds are loaded with day 1 starters. The more picks we can get in the first 3 rounds the better, IMO anyway.

      • Edward Kirby

        “The first 3 rounds are loaded with day 1 starters. The more picks we can get in the first 3 rounds the better…”

        I agree with this. If I were the GM, I’d trade our 1-18 down, and pick up whatever I can between picks 1-25 and 4-125. If I can get an additional three picks in that range using the one and the five, six and/or seven, then great. I’d even trade future picks towards that end.

        But I believe that is what every GM in the league is thinking as well. That is why I think this year will be slim pickins’ when it comes to trades: everyone will be wanting to trade down, and outside of the first five or six picks, no one will want to trade up.

        And even there, life will be rough for an active trader. Look at what a team usually gives up for the number one OAP: this year’s one (and a high one at that), a two and maybe even next year’s one or two (and/or a few lower levels picks) is a typical haul. But this year, for Clowney, a king’s ransom is likely the price, and I can’t see it coming from lower than the five OAP; meaning that there are four teams — STL, JAX, CLE & OAK — that have a chance at him. And some of those teams (specifically STL) are probably trying to trade their own picks down.
        If HOU passes on Clowney — not unimaginable, considering that they surprised everyone when they picked Mario Williams — then I have no doubt that some fool will open up the team’s present-and-future draft bank vault for the Rams, and (thanks to the Redskins) STL will practically be guaranteed a spot in the playoffs for five of the next seven years.

        But again, I see all of that as being unlikely. HOU will pick Clowney, and STL will be forced to make their pick; probably an OT or Watkins or Mack. The first team that trades down will likely do so at bargain prices, too.