Sep 29, 2013; Nashville, TN, USA; Tennessee Titans defensive tackle Jurrell Casey (99) attempts to block a pass by New York Jets quarterback Geno Smith (7) during the second half at LP Field. Tennessee won 38-13. Mandatory Credit: Jim Brown-USA TODAY Sports

Some Hope Regarding Geno Smith and Interceptions

Here is an interesting set of statistics regarding first year quarterbacks and interceptions that was worth sharing. How relevant? Hard to say as it is just numbers. But, it’s something to think about.

While thinking about Geno’s eight interceptions to date, take a look at this chart. It shows some of the higher totals of interceptions by first year quarterbacks, and their totals for the rest of the season:

Player/Team Year Int. in first 4 gms Int % Int. Rest of Season INT % Rest of Season
S. DeBerg SF 1978 11 8.5% 11 6.4%
P. Manning IND 1998 11 7.5% 17 4.0%
B. Jones IND 1973 9 11.3% 3 10.7%
R. Leaf SD 1998 8 7.7% 7 5.0%
G. Smith NYJ 2013 8 5.9% ? ?
C. Palmer CIN 2004 7 4.5% 11 4.0%
N. Snead WAS 1961 7 6.1% 15 5.7%
B. Weeden CLE 2012 7 4.2% 10 2.9%
J. Zorn SEA 1976 7 5.0% 20 6.7%

Again, we know this is just a set of numbers, and football is not played on paper. Anything can happen. But think about it, even Ryan Leaf’s INT percentage went down. We can all agree that Geno Smith is better than Ryan Leaf, can’t we?

What it shows is that, statistically speaking, first year quarterbacks reduce their interception percentage as their reps continue to increase through the season.

Hopefully that trend will continue.

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