The key to the success will be the offensive line, and the ability to control the game up front. If the Jets are controlling things up front, they can run the ball all game. Shonn Greene must have 20 carries or more, and if he does, he will be the number back we all want to see. Let’s look at the numbers.
Here are Shonn’s numbers for his career(incl. playoffs), when he carried the ball 20 or more times:
- 2009 Wild Card: 21 carries, 135 yards, 1 TD
- 2009 Divisional Playoff: 23 carries, 128 yards, 1 TD
- 2010 Week 4: 22 carries, 117 yards
- 2010 Week 10: 20 carries, 72 yards
- 2011 Week 5: 21 carries, 83 yards, 1 TD
- 2011 Week 6: 21 carries, 74 yards
- 2001 Week 7: 20 carries, 112 yards
- 2011 Week 13: 22 carries, 88 yards, 3 TD
- 2011 Week 14: 24 carries, 129 yards, 1 TD
- 2012 Week 2: 27 carries, 94 yards, 1 TD
Taking these games together, it comes to an average of 22 carries, 103 yards per game. If you project that out over a 16 game season, here is what you come up with for Shonn Greene’s stats:
352 carries, 1,648 yards.
That by the way, would have made Shonn Greene the NFL rushing leader in 2011, with a small lead over Maurice Jones-Drew. Yes, different teams, different offensive lines, etc. This doesn’t mean that these numbers would play out exactly this way.
The point of this, some running backs need the ball early, and often to get a feel for the line, and for the game. Some backs just don’t get that type of feel during a game where they are going to go off with only 8-10 carries.
Is he Adrian Peterson? No. Is he Maurice Jones-Drew? Of course not. But if you give Shonn Greene the rock, and you keep giving him the rock, he will put up numbers. Look above, he already has. The numbers don’t lie.